1-Abstract
P(1D) values across down and distance were calculated for CFL data across down & distance. & Goal situations were separated and viewed independently. Results were compared to results obtained using the same methods on U Sports data. CFL offenses generally follow the same trends as seen in U Sports in terms of P(1D), though CFL P(1D) is consistently ~5 percentage points higher than U Sports under the same conditions. 1st down follows the same linear trend, while 2nd down shows exponential decay, with the previously discussed “Stupidity Asymptote” at 10%. However, CFL teams are markedly less willing to attempt 3rd down conversions, causing a lack of usable data points for 3rd down. For & goal situations the disparity between CFL and U Sports P(1D) does not seem to be as prevalent.
